WebWord.com > Moving WebWord > The Four Horsemen of Usability  (4-June-2001)


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The Four Horsemen of Usability

by John S. Rhodes

Summary

As of June 2001, four web properties control more than 50% of all the time spent online by U.S. surfers. This means that you can throw away your usability guidelines and follow these companies. They spend millions on usability testing and they are driving standards by sheer market force. You have no choice but to follow their lead.


Some Background

I've been thinking a lot about the future of the internet and the future of usability. As many WebWord readers know, I am not afraid to challenge the usability community even though I am part of that community. I suppose that doesn't always make me popular, but I feel that my challenges keep people on their toes. 

Over at Web Review, Christopher Schmitt asked five leading experts to compare the Web today (June 2001) to the way it was five years ago. That article got me thinking more about how the web has changed and what that means for usability.  I was originally thinking that the web has changed a lot, but Jakob Nielsen stated that web usability hasn't really changed much in the last five years. Although Jakob always thinks usability stinks, he has a point. Things really haven't changed much. Users still have many problems. 

This left me with a very empty feeling. 


Negatively Charged Vibes

But then things got worse.

I started to realize that the article I read before the Web Review Q&A was really bothering me. That troublesome article was about how only four companies (AOL / Time Warner, Microsoft, Napster, and Yahoo!) control over 50% of time spent online by users. (Those companies remind me of the Four Horsemen!)

50%! That's incredible. That freaks me out. 

On average, just a few companies control much of my time online. And your time. And your mother's time. And so on. It is crazy that a handful of companies control so much of the internet. Not the infrastructure necessarily, but certainly the overall experience. I care about that.

With the free web dying, the situation is only going to get worse. While millions of web pages bloom, the actual power will continue to be centralized with fewer and fewer companies. There is every reason to believe things will only get worse in this respect. Small companies and small web sites are dropping dead. 

Today Lawrence Lee announced that Tomalak's Realm is closing down. While his reasons sound good, I suspect that part of the reason for the "death" is financial. If Lawrence was making gobs and gobs of money, he might have continued to dish up useful links each day. The reality it that large companies have plenty of money and they can withstand pain, but smaller companies cannot. When things get bad, and the stock market tanks, then the lions will strike. That is happening now.

So I have bad vibes. I was worried before, but now the negatively charged vibes are running through my body. Companies hold so much power, and the web is closing down as we know it. A few companies are going to control your life online. 


What This Means for the Usability Community

If only four companies control 50% of the web, then usability is not important 50% of the time. Well, that isn't quite right. What I should say is that we don't have much control over how those web sites will be designed. Further, I mean "we" as users and I mean "we" as the usability community. 

The web design world is at the mercy of these four companies. They will dictate to us how web sites will be designed. It is much the same with Windows. When software applications are developed, they are developed the Microsoft way. It is assumed that when you build a Windows application, it will be developed so that it looks and feels like all other Windows applications. While it is true that four companies dominate 50% of our online time, versus Microsoft's 92% of dominance of the world's operating system installations, they are still able to force us into a corner. We are at their mercy.

We can talk all we want about usability standards. And, we can complain about corporate power and abuse. But those things won't do much for us. Instead, I suggest that we look at The Four Horsemen of the web and figure out how we can make our sites fit theirs. How can we turn this situation around? How can we benefit from their power?

I hope that you realize that I'm about to throw some heresy your way. I'm saying that perhaps we should look at these powerful web properties, with all of their flaws, instead of users! I'm not saying that this is optimal. I am saying that it is practical. If you have no usability experience and you have no budget or time, take a look at the Four Horsemen of the web. We know that they spend money on usability. For example, take a look at Microsoft's usability efforts. Indeed, they spend a lot more on usability than you do! (By the way, as of 5-June-2001, they are hiring.)

Now, this doesn't mean that AOL / Time Warner, Microsoft, Yahoo! and Napster are doing things right. In fact, I think we all realize that they are looking to make money and they put their interests first. I also think that Napster will go away. We'll have three horsemen. But I digress. 

There is something to be said for following in the footsteps of giants. They are large and they are in charge. That forces you to act. That forces you to follow their lead.


Follow the Four Horsemen or Die?

You should still test your web site with your users. I am not saying that you should abandon all hope. Instead, I am saying that you are going up against very powerful forces. If you have no budget for usability, it only makes sense that you should watch and learn from companies that dominate the market. If you don't know your users and have no time to understand them, then visit the web properties that dominate. Understand how they do things. You can understand the mindshare that they command and you can get usability knowledge at a very low cost. They have taken the bullets for you, capitalize on that! 

If you are a niche player then perhaps you can ignore me. If you have an non-profit site, maybe my advice does not count. Maybe you have very special users and maybe you know them very well. But, if you are playing to a larger audience, then I would fall back on my advice. Follow the leaders; follow the Four Horsemen. By default they control web design standards. Usability be damned!


Talk about this article. Visit the discussion board. I'll see you there!


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